A major terrorist attack took place in Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir, where 26 innocent Indian civilians lost their lives. Following the attack, the entire country and the Indian government are furious. The government has made it clear that those responsible for the attack will not be spared. In response, India has announced a freeze on diplomatic relations with the Pakistani embassy and the suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty. Furthermore, no Pakistani citizen will be allowed entry into India. Meanwhile, Pakistan has issued several provocative statements in response to these decisions. This raises a crucial question: if a war were to break out between India and Pakistan in the future, which countries would take sides?
The Biggest Threat
If India and Pakistan go to war, India might face a two-front conflict due to China’s ongoing friendship with Pakistan. This would make the situation highly challenging for India. However, experts believe that China would think carefully before joining any war directly, especially considering India’s growing strength and the drastically changed geopolitical landscape since the 1962 war.
Looking at history, China refrained from engaging against India during the 1965 and 1971 wars, even though there were widespread fears that China might attack from the other side. Despite closer ties with Pakistan over the years, China did not get directly involved back then—but the current scenario may differ.
Which Countries Would Support India?
Today, India has established itself as a global power with strong diplomatic ties with many major nations. Chief among them is the United States, which shares strong trade and strategic relations with India. While Pakistan has attempted to improve its ties with the U.S. in recent years, America continues to view Pakistan with suspicion due to terrorism-related issues. It is also worth remembering that Osama bin Laden, America’s most wanted terrorist, was found hiding in Pakistan.
Support From Russia and Israel?
After the U.S., India can also expect support from Russia, with whom it shares a longstanding and deep-rooted relationship. India has purchased major defense equipment from Russia, and these military ties remain strong. During past conflicts with Pakistan, Russia openly supported India and even forced the U.S. naval fleet to withdraw during the 1971 war.
Israel is another strong ally. During the Kargil war, Israel provided India with critical assistance, including night vision devices, drones, and other technical support. The ties between the two nations have continued to grow stronger since then.
Pakistan May Stand Alone
In summary, apart from China, no other major power is likely to pose a threat to India. Pakistan will likely rely on China’s support, and possibly try to gain support from Islamic nations. However, it’s highly unlikely that any Muslim country would be willing to enter a full-scale war against India. If China chooses to stay out as well, Pakistan could risk losing control over regions like Balochistan and Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK) during a war.